Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Nicky Lopez

Texas Rangers · 2B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.88
Edge
+1.1%
Trending splitsvs LHP 13%(8)
Last 20
5%1/20 over 2.5
Window avg
1.05
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
5%
1/20
2026
3%
1/37
Avg0.77
StreakL3

Tonight's matchup: Walbert Ureña (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Changeup
32.7%
90.4.133.13326.1%
Sinker
31.6%
97.5.714.8573.8%
Four-seam FB
19.9%
97.4.259.37020.0%
Sweeper
15.8%
86.2.167.1677.1%
Fastball
0.1%
84.7

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Nicky Lopez clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Ezequiel Duran o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 62% · n=23 · -145 dabble_us_dfs
Jake Burger o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 62% · n=25 · -161 dabble_us_dfs
Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 62% · n=21 · -208 dabble_us_dfs
Alejandro Osuna o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 59% · n=19 · -137 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 2.5

official box scores
1vs MIN06/150vs MIN06/161vs MIN06/181vs SD06/191vs SD06/202vs SD06/211@ MIA06/220@ MIA06/231@ MIA06/242@ TOR06/251@ TOR06/261@ TOR06/270@ TOR06/282@ CLE06/291@ CLE06/301@ CLE07/013vs DET07/020vs DET07/041vs DET07/051vs LAA07/072.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-158+119
dabble_us_dfs0.5+120-120

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs LAA Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Elias Díaz TEX07/072
Josh Smith TEX07/071
Jake Burger TEX07/071
Alejandro Osuna TEX07/071
Ezequiel Duran TEX07/071
Brandon Nimmo TEX07/070
Evan Carter TEX07/070
Joc Pederson TEX07/070
Masataka Yoshida BOS07/053
Tsung-Che Cheng BOS07/052
Jarren Duran BOS07/052
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/051
Willson Contreras BOS07/051
Anthony Seigler BOS07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.333.143.000.231.308.500.333.421.333
sluggingPercentage
.333.143.000.231.333.625.333.706.333
AVG
.333.143.000.231.333.500.333.471.333
OPS
.667.286.000.462.6151.125.6671.053.667
Exit Velo
86.3989.2678.4882.1383.3778.0477.8784.7691.08