Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.88
Edge
+1.1%Batter StrikeoutsEarned RunsHitsHits AllowedHits + Runs + RBIsHome RunsPitcher OutsPitcher StrikeoutsPitcher WalksRBIsRuns ScoredStolen BasesTotal BasesWalks
Last 170
28%29/103 over 1 · 67 push
Window avg
0.77
Median
1.0
L5
50%
1/2
L10
50%
2/4
L20
50%
4/8
2026
41%
9/22
Avg0.77
Streak—
Tonight's matchup: Walbert Ureña (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changeup | 32.7% | 90.4 | .133 | .133 | 26.1% |
| Sinker | 31.6% | 97.5 | .714 | .857 | 3.8% |
| Four-seam FB | 19.9% | 97.4 | .259 | .370 | 20.0% |
| Sweeper | 15.8% | 86.2 | .167 | .167 | 7.1% |
| Fastball | 0.1% | 84.7 | — | — | — |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Nicky Lopez clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Ezequiel Duran o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 62% · n=23 · -145 dabble_us_dfs
Jake Burger o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 62% · n=25 · -161 dabble_us_dfs
Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 62% · n=21 · -208 dabble_us_dfs
Alejandro Osuna o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 59% · n=19 · -137 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 170 vs 1
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs LAA — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Elias Díaz TEX | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Ezequiel Duran TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Burger TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Alejandro Osuna TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Josh Smith TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Joc Pederson TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brandon Nimmo TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Evan Carter TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Masataka Yoshida BOS | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Tsung-Che Cheng BOS | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Anthony Seigler BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Willson Contreras BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
Exit Velo