Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Mauricio Dubón

Atlanta Braves · CF · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.81
Edge
+18.8%
Last 20
40%8/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.35
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
41%
9/22
Avg1.24
StreakW3

Parlay pairs — when Mauricio Dubón clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Matt Olson o1.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 62% · base 53% · n=37 · +110 Bovada

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 1.5

official box scores
2@ LAA04/080@ WSH04/234vs PHI04/261vs DET04/300@ COL05/031@ SEA05/062@ LAD05/104@ MIA05/190vs WSH05/230vs WSH05/240@ BOS05/280@ CIN05/312vs PIT06/060vs PIT06/071@ NYM06/131@ NYM06/140vs MIL06/204vs MIL06/212@ SF06/283vs NYM07/051.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+154-206
Bovada1.5+155-210

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs PIT Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Michael Harris II ATL07/073
Austin Riley ATL07/073
Matt Olson ATL07/072
Jim Jarvis ATL07/071
Ozzie Albies ATL07/071
Mike Yastrzemski ATL07/071
Dominic Smith ATL07/070
Drake Baldwin ATL07/070
Luis García Jr. WSH07/055
Dylan Crews WSH07/054
Keibert Ruiz WSH07/053
Curtis Mead WSH07/052
José Tena WSH07/052
CJ Abrams WSH07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
87.5889.9092.6990.9088.7388.3689.3987.9784.46
sluggingPercentage
.235.625.333.952.667.364.474.429.261
AVG
.235.458.278.429.367.182.316.314.217
OPS
.4711.083.6111.3811.033.545.789.743.478
onBasePercentage
.235.458.278.429.367.182.316.314.217