Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.52
Edge
-9.5%Last 10
40%4/10 over 0.5
Window avg
0.40
Median
0.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
45%
39/86
Avg0.44
StreakW2
Tonight's matchup: Jared Jones (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 38.0% | 98.6 | .223 | .330 | 15.2% |
| Slider | 32.6% | 90.2 | .300 | .550 | 26.2% |
| Changeup | 17.8% | 93.4 | .167 | .262 | 14.7% |
| Curveball | 11.6% | 85.7 | .286 | .786 | 25.0% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Mauricio Dubón clears 0.5 Batter Strikeouts, these hit too
Drake Baldwin o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 66% · n=29 · -196 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Batter Strikeouts — last 10 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Batter Strikeouts
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | -137 |
Line movement — Batter Strikeouts
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs PIT — Batter Strikeouts, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Matt Olson ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Austin Riley ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Mike Yastrzemski ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ozzie Albies ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jim Jarvis ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Michael Harris II ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Drake Baldwin ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dominic Smith ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Daylen Lile WSH | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jorbit Vivas WSH | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| José Tena WSH | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
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