Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Mauricio Dubón

Atlanta Braves · CF · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.52
Edge
-9.5%
All 222 games
37%83/222 over 0.5
Window avg
0.43
Median
0.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
45%
29/64
Avg0.43
StreakW2

Tonight's matchup: Jared Jones (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
38.0%
98.6.223.33015.2%
Slider
32.6%
90.2.300.55026.2%
Changeup
17.8%
93.4.167.26214.7%
Curveball
11.6%
85.7.286.78625.0%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Mauricio Dubón clears 0.5 Batter Strikeouts, these hit too

Drake Baldwin o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 66% · n=29 · -196 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Batter Strikeoutsall 222 games vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs BOS05/160@ MIA05/180@ MIA05/200@ MIA05/211vs WSH05/221@ BOS05/260@ BOS05/271@ CIN05/300vs TOR06/020vs TOR06/030vs TOR06/041vs PIT06/050@ CWS06/090@ CWS06/101@ NYM06/120vs SF06/160vs SF06/170vs MIL06/191@ SD06/220@ SD06/230@ SD06/241@ SF06/260@ SF06/270vs STL06/300vs STL07/011vs STL07/021vs NYM07/030vs NYM07/041vs NYM07/061@ PIT07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Batter Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
Betr Picks0.5-137-137

Line movement — Batter Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs PIT Batter Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Austin Riley ATL07/071
Jim Jarvis ATL07/071
Mike Yastrzemski ATL07/071
Matt Olson ATL07/071
Ozzie Albies ATL07/071
Michael Harris II ATL07/070
Dominic Smith ATL07/070
Drake Baldwin ATL07/070
Jorbit Vivas WSH07/051
Daylen Lile WSH07/051
Luis García Jr. WSH07/050
CJ Abrams WSH07/050
Dylan Crews WSH07/050
James Wood WSH07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.235.458.316.429.387.182.316.314.208
sluggingPercentage
.235.625.421.952.677.364.474.429.250
AVG
.235.458.316.429.387.182.316.314.208
OPS
.4711.083.7371.3811.065.545.789.743.458
Exit Velo
87.5889.9093.0190.9089.0588.3689.3987.9784.46