Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Mauricio Dubón

Atlanta Braves · CF · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.81
Edge
+18.8%
Last 20
15%3/20 over 2.5
Window avg
1.55
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
15%
3/20
2026
21%
9/43
Avg1.28
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Mauricio Dubón clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Matt Olson o1.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 62% · base 53% · n=37 · +110 Bovada

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 2.5

away only · official box scores
4@ MIA05/191@ MIA05/201@ MIA05/211@ BOS05/261@ BOS05/270@ BOS05/281@ CIN05/300@ CIN05/311@ CWS06/091@ CWS06/101@ NYM06/121@ NYM06/131@ NYM06/141@ SD06/225@ SD06/232@ SD06/242@ SF06/262@ SF06/272@ SF06/283@ PIT07/072.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+154-206
Bovada1.5+155-210

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs PIT Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Michael Harris II ATL07/073
Austin Riley ATL07/073
Matt Olson ATL07/072
Jim Jarvis ATL07/071
Ozzie Albies ATL07/071
Mike Yastrzemski ATL07/071
Dominic Smith ATL07/070
Drake Baldwin ATL07/070
Luis García Jr. WSH07/055
Dylan Crews WSH07/054
Keibert Ruiz WSH07/053
Curtis Mead WSH07/052
José Tena WSH07/052
CJ Abrams WSH07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
87.5889.9092.6990.9088.7388.3689.3987.9784.46
sluggingPercentage
.235.625.333.952.667.364.474.429.261
AVG
.235.458.278.429.367.182.316.314.217
OPS
.4711.083.6111.3811.033.545.789.743.478
onBasePercentage
.235.458.278.429.367.182.316.314.217