Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Mauricio Dubón

Atlanta Braves · CF · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.52
Edge
-9.5%
Last 30
33%10/30 over 0.5
Window avg
0.37
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
30%
6/20
2026
42%
16/38
Avg0.43
StreakL6

Tonight's matchup: Jared Jones (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
38.0%
98.6.223.33015.2%
Slider
32.6%
90.2.300.55026.2%
Changeup
17.8%
93.4.167.26214.7%
Curveball
11.6%
85.7.286.78625.0%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Mauricio Dubón clears 0.5 Batter Strikeouts, these hit too

Drake Baldwin o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 66% · n=29 · -196 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Batter Strikeoutslast 30 vs 0.5

official box scores
1vs DET04/290vs DET04/300@ COL05/010@ COL05/021@ COL05/030@ LAD05/090@ LAD05/101vs CHC05/131vs BOS05/150vs BOS05/160@ MIA05/191vs WSH05/220vs WSH05/241@ BOS05/260@ BOS05/270@ BOS05/281@ CIN05/310vs TOR06/030vs TOR06/042vs PIT06/070@ CWS06/091@ NYM06/130vs SF06/171vs MIL06/200vs MIL06/210@ SD06/230@ SD06/240@ SF06/280vs STL06/300vs NYM07/040.5

Tonight's odds — Batter Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
Betr Picks0.5-137-137

Line movement — Batter Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs PIT Batter Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jim Jarvis ATL07/071
Matt Olson ATL07/071
Ozzie Albies ATL07/071
Mike Yastrzemski ATL07/071
Austin Riley ATL07/071
Dominic Smith ATL07/070
Michael Harris II ATL07/070
Drake Baldwin ATL07/070
Jorbit Vivas WSH07/051
Daylen Lile WSH07/051
Luis García Jr. WSH07/050
Dylan Crews WSH07/050
James Wood WSH07/050
CJ Abrams WSH07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.235.458.316.429.387.182.316.314.208
sluggingPercentage
.235.625.421.952.677.364.474.429.250
AVG
.235.458.316.429.387.182.316.314.208
OPS
.4711.083.7371.3811.065.545.789.743.458
Exit Velo
87.5889.9093.0190.9089.0588.3689.3987.9784.46