Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.64
Edge
-5.1%Last 20
55%11/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.65
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
55%
11/20
2026
57%
39/69
Avg0.75
StreakL2
Tonight's matchup: Kyle Harrison (LHP)
Bats LeftThrows LeftSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 58.7% | 95.0 | .271 | .339 | 20.8% |
| Slurve | 30.4% | 82.2 | — | — | — |
| Changeup | 9.3% | 86.3 | .239 | .391 | 27.1% |
| Sinker | 1.7% | 94.8 | .208 | .333 | 13.3% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Nathan Church clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Michael McGreevy o16.5 Pitcher Outs
hits when he does 78% · base 74% · n=9 · -120 dabble_us_dfs
Alec Burleson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 71% · n=40 · -179 dabble_us_dfs
JJ Wetherholt o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 67% · n=37 · -182 dabble_us_dfs
Masyn Winn o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 66% · n=42 · -156 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs MIL — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Iván Herrera STL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nelson Velázquez STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| José Fermín STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Lars Nootbaar STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| José Fermín STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jimmy Crooks STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Masyn Winn STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Iván Herrera STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Bryan Torres STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Blaze Jordan STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS