Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Samuel Basallo

Baltimore Orioles · DH · Bats L

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.70
Edge
+0.2%
Trending splitsvs LHP 21%(19)
Last 109
32%35/109 over 1.5
Window avg
1.41
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
30%
6/20
2026
33%
26/78
Avg1.41
StreakL2

Parlay pairs — when Samuel Basallo clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Pete Alonso o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 67% · n=26 · -250 BetOnline
Taylor Ward o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 61% · n=26 · -207 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 109 vs 1.5

official box scores
1@ BOS06/020@ BOS06/032@ BOS06/040@ TOR06/050@ TOR06/060@ TOR06/070vs SEA06/080vs SEA06/090vs SEA06/114vs SD06/121vs SD06/131vs SD06/141@ SEA06/162@ SEA06/170@ SEA06/180@ LAD06/192@ LAD06/201@ LAD06/210@ LAA06/238@ LAA06/240vs WSH06/261vs WSH06/270vs WSH06/281vs CWS06/292vs CWS06/300vs CWS07/014@ CIN07/034@ CIN07/040@ CIN07/051vs CHC07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+119-159
BetOnline1.5+120-156
Bovada1.5+120-160

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:10 AM ET12:10 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKingsBovada

League vs CHC Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Adley Rutschman BAL07/072
Gunnar Henderson BAL07/071
Pete Alonso BAL07/071
Blaze Alexander BAL07/071
Jackson Holliday BAL07/070
Dylan Beavers BAL07/070
Taylor Ward BAL07/070
Coby Mayo BAL07/070
Jordan Walker STL07/054
Alec Burleson STL07/052
JJ Wetherholt STL07/052
Masyn Winn STL07/051
Nathan Church STL07/051
Lars Nootbaar STL07/050