Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.70
Edge
+0.2%Trending splitsvs LHP 21%(19)
Last 20
25%5/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.25
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
25%
5/20
2026
35%
14/40
Avg1.40
StreakL2
Parlay pairs — when Samuel Basallo clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Pete Alonso o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 67% · n=26 · -250 BetOnline
Taylor Ward o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 61% · n=26 · -207 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 1.5
home only · official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +119 | -159 |
| BetOnline | 1.5 | +120 | -156 |
| Bovada | 1.5 | +120 | -160 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKingsBovada
League vs CHC — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Adley Rutschman BAL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Gunnar Henderson BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Pete Alonso BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Blaze Alexander BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jackson Holliday BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Coby Mayo BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Taylor Ward BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dylan Beavers BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/05 | 4 | ✓ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Masyn Winn STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Iván Herrera STL | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |