Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Samuel Basallo

Baltimore Orioles · DH · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.40
Edge
-12.5%
All 109 games
34%37/109 over 0.5
Window avg
0.39
Median
0.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
25%
5/20
2026
37%
29/78
Avg0.39
StreakW1

Tonight's matchup: Colin Rea (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
41.9%
93.7.267.49329.3%
Changeup
17.8%
87.7.263.39529.2%
Slider
11.1%
86.0.282.41041.1%
Sweeper
9.2%
83.0.118.11834.8%
Sinker
9.1%
92.4.174.43511.5%
Cutter
6.0%
87.0.400.86722.9%
Curveball
5.0%
79.8.214.46441.4%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Runs Scoredall 109 games vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ BOS06/020@ BOS06/032@ BOS06/040@ TOR06/050@ TOR06/060@ TOR06/070vs SEA06/080vs SEA06/090vs SEA06/111vs SD06/121vs SD06/130vs SD06/140@ SEA06/160@ SEA06/170@ SEA06/180@ LAD06/190@ LAD06/200@ LAD06/210@ LAA06/232@ LAA06/240vs WSH06/260vs WSH06/270vs WSH06/280vs CWS06/290vs CWS06/300vs CWS07/011@ CIN07/031@ CIN07/040@ CIN07/051vs CHC07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

BookLineOverUnder
DK Pick60.5-137
Betr Picks0.5-137
dabble_us_dfs0.5+119-118

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.511:15 AM ET11:15 AM ET
dabble_us_dfsBetr PicksDK Pick6

League vs CHC Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Blaze Alexander BAL07/071
Adley Rutschman BAL07/070
Coby Mayo BAL07/070
Pete Alonso BAL07/070
Dylan Beavers BAL07/070
Taylor Ward BAL07/070
Jackson Holliday BAL07/070
Gunnar Henderson BAL07/070
JJ Wetherholt STL07/052
Jordan Walker STL07/051
Alec Burleson STL07/051
Bryan Torres STL07/050
Nathan Church STL07/050
José Fermín STL07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.400.235.000.414.455.174.214.278.429
Exit Velo
96.7396.46103.7197.2397.3581.5194.8494.9697.76
AVG
.400.235.000.414.455.174.214.278.333
sluggingPercentage
1.000.294.000.6551.273.435.214.556.833
OPS
1.400.529.0001.0691.727.609.429.8331.143