Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Samuel Basallo

Baltimore Orioles · DH · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.85
Edge
-8.2%
Last 15
60%9/15 over 0.5
Window avg
0.80
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
59%
46/78
Avg0.76
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Samuel Basallo clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Pete Alonso o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 67% · n=46 · -250 BetOnline

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 15 vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ LAD06/192@ LAD06/201@ LAD06/210@ LAA06/232@ LAA06/240vs WSH06/261vs WSH06/270vs WSH06/281vs CWS06/292vs CWS06/300vs CWS07/011@ CIN07/031@ CIN07/040@ CIN07/051vs CHC07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-233+172
BetOnline0.5-233+173

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET12:10 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs CHC Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Adley Rutschman BAL07/072
Gunnar Henderson BAL07/071
Pete Alonso BAL07/071
Blaze Alexander BAL07/071
Taylor Ward BAL07/070
Coby Mayo BAL07/070
Dylan Beavers BAL07/070
Jackson Holliday BAL07/070
Alec Burleson STL07/052
JJ Wetherholt STL07/052
Nathan Church STL07/051
Masyn Winn STL07/051
Jordan Walker STL07/051
Lars Nootbaar STL07/050