Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.85
Edge
-8.2%All 109 games
2%2/109 over 2.5
Window avg
0.76
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
0%
0/20
2026
3%
2/78
Avg0.76
StreakL50
Tonight's matchup: Colin Rea (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 41.9% | 93.7 | .267 | .493 | 29.3% |
| Changeup | 17.8% | 87.7 | .263 | .395 | 29.2% |
| Slider | 11.1% | 86.0 | .282 | .410 | 41.1% |
| Sweeper | 9.2% | 83.0 | .118 | .118 | 34.8% |
| Sinker | 9.1% | 92.4 | .174 | .435 | 11.5% |
| Cutter | 6.0% | 87.0 | .400 | .867 | 22.9% |
| Curveball | 5.0% | 79.8 | .214 | .464 | 41.4% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Samuel Basallo clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Pete Alonso o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 67% · n=46 · -227 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — all 109 games vs 2.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Hits
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 0.5 | -233 | +172 |
| BetOnline | 0.5 | -233 | +173 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | -208 | +209 |
Line movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs CHC — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Adley Rutschman BAL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Gunnar Henderson BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Pete Alonso BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Blaze Alexander BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Coby Mayo BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dylan Beavers BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jackson Holliday BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Taylor Ward BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Masyn Winn STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Bryan Torres STL | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS