Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Samuel Basallo

Baltimore Orioles · DH · Bats L

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.70
Edge
+0.2%
Last 10
10%1/10 over 1.5
Window avg
0.80
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
20%
4/20
2026
21%
4/19
Avg1.09
StreakL7

Parlay pairs — when Samuel Basallo clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Pete Alonso o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 67% · n=26 · -250 BetOnline
Taylor Ward o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 61% · n=26 · -207 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 10 vs 1.5

official box scores
0vs TB05/250vs TOR05/285vs TOR05/291@ BOS06/020@ BOS06/030vs WSH06/261vs WSH06/270vs CWS07/010@ CIN07/051vs CHC07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+119-159
BetOnline1.5+120-156
Bovada1.5+120-160

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:10 AM ET12:10 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKingsBovada

League vs CHC Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Adley Rutschman BAL07/072
Gunnar Henderson BAL07/071
Blaze Alexander BAL07/071
Pete Alonso BAL07/071
Coby Mayo BAL07/070
Dylan Beavers BAL07/070
Jackson Holliday BAL07/070
Taylor Ward BAL07/070
Jordan Walker STL07/054
Alec Burleson STL07/052
JJ Wetherholt STL07/052
Nathan Church STL07/051
Masyn Winn STL07/051
José Fermín STL07/050