Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.43
Edge
-5.5%Last 10
30%3/10 over 0.5
Window avg
0.30
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
30%
3/10
2026
33%
2/6
Avg0.30
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Colin Rea (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 41.9% | 93.7 | .231 | .410 | 16.3% |
| Changeup | 17.8% | 87.7 | .385 | .462 | 29.6% |
| Slider | 11.1% | 86.0 | .143 | .214 | 34.5% |
| Sweeper | 9.2% | 83.0 | .154 | .231 | 38.9% |
| Sinker | 9.1% | 92.4 | .333 | .533 | 9.1% |
| Cutter | 6.0% | 87.0 | .000 | .000 | 29.2% |
| Curveball | 5.0% | 79.8 | .091 | .182 | 38.1% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Dylan Beavers clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Adley Rutschman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 65% · n=12 · -227 dabble_us_dfs
Coby Mayo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 47% · n=20 · -123 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 10 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +146 | -145 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
dabble_us_dfsBetr Picks
League vs CHC — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Samuel Basallo BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Blaze Alexander BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Adley Rutschman BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Pete Alonso BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Coby Mayo BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Taylor Ward BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Gunnar Henderson BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jackson Holliday BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Bryan Torres STL | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Iván Herrera STL | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| José Fermín STL | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
OPS
AVG
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo