Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.49
Edge
+7.3%Last 20
40%8/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.65
Median
0.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
33%
9/27
Avg0.53
StreakW1
Tonight's matchup: Roki Sasaki (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 43.2% | 97.5 | .386 | .651 | 8.9% |
| Splitter | 24.3% | 90.2 | .333 | .500 | 38.5% |
| Slider | 21.9% | 86.6 | .233 | .349 | 40.2% |
| Forkball | 10.6% | 85.2 | — | — | — |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Kyle Karros clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Tyler Freeman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 80% · base 70% · n=35 · -167 dabble_us_dfs
TJ Rumfield o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 79% · base 67% · n=33 · -154 dabble_us_dfs
Jake McCarthy o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 69% · n=30 · -192 dabble_us_dfs
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 63% · n=49 · -175 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +218 | -213 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs LAD — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Cole Carrigg COL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Tyler Freeman COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Braxton Fulford COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ezequiel Tovar COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake McCarthy COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Mickey Moniak COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Willi Castro COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| TJ Rumfield COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cole Carrigg COL | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Ezequiel Tovar COL | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Willi Castro COL | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Troy Johnston COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| TJ Rumfield COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tyler Freeman COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS