Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.13
Edge
+3.0%Last 20
25%5/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.25
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
25%
5/20
2026
10%
6/62
Avg0.07
StreakW1
Tonight's matchup: Roki Sasaki (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 43.2% | 97.5 | .386 | .651 | 8.9% |
| Splitter | 24.3% | 90.2 | .333 | .500 | 38.5% |
| Slider | 21.9% | 86.6 | .233 | .349 | 40.2% |
| Forkball | 10.6% | 85.2 | — | — | — |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Kyle Karros clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 88% · base 63% · n=8 · -175 dabble_us_dfs
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 88% · base 48% · n=8 · +121 dabble_us_dfs
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 75% · base 45% · n=8 · +125 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Home Runs — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +961 | -909 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs LAD — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 1/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Ezequiel Tovar COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| TJ Rumfield COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Willi Castro COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cole Carrigg COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Braxton Fulford COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tyler Freeman COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Mickey Moniak COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake McCarthy COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ezequiel Tovar COL | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Cole Carrigg COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tyler Freeman COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake McCarthy COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Troy Johnston COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Hunter Goodman COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS