Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.69
Edge
-8.7%All 143 games
22%31/143 over 1.5
Window avg
0.85
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
10%
2/20
2026
15%
13/88
Avg0.85
StreakW1
Tonight's matchup: George Kirby (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweeper | 29.9% | 87.1 | .125 | .125 | 37.5% |
| Four-seam FB | 29.4% | 96.7 | .197 | .316 | 10.2% |
| Sinker | 21.0% | 96.9 | .180 | .180 | 11.4% |
| Knuckle Curve | 9.9% | 83.8 | — | — | — |
| Changeup | 6.7% | 88.7 | .323 | .548 | 30.4% |
| Cutter | 3.0% | 93.2 | .143 | .250 | 10.9% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jakob Marsee clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Otto Lopez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 74% · n=79 · -271 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — all 143 games vs 1.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs SEA — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Liam Hicks MIA | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Otto Lopez MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Xavier Edwards MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Owen Caissie MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Javier Sanoja MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Griffin Conine MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Joe Mack MIA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kyle Stowers MIA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Sean Keys TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis Urías TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alejandro Kirk TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS