Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Carlos Cortes

Oakland Athletics · PH · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.70
Edge
-6.2%
Last 20
70%14/20 over 0.5
Window avg
1.00
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
70%
14/20
2026
68%
21/31
Avg0.88
StreakL2

Tonight's matchup: Troy Melton (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
38.4%
96.0.340.45312.7%
Slider
19.1%
86.1.318.45531.8%
Cutter
18.8%
91.6.4441.11125.0%
Splitter
8.9%
88.4.188.37512.1%
Sinker
8.4%
95.3.257.40011.6%
Curveball
6.3%
77.8.227.31836.1%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Carlos Cortes clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Jacob Wilson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 69% · n=32 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
Nick Kurtz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 69% · n=58 · -175 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

away only · official box scores
2@ TEX04/241@ TEX04/253@ TEX04/260@ PHI05/062@ PHI05/070@ BAL05/081@ BAL05/091@ BAL05/101@ LAA05/181@ LAA05/201@ LAA05/211@ SD05/221@ SD05/232@ SD05/240@ CHC06/021@ CHC06/030@ HOU06/052@ HOU06/060@ HOU06/070@ LAA06/270.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-151+114
dabble_us_dfs0.5-135+137

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs DET Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK07/073
Jonah Heim OAK07/071
Shea Langeliers OAK07/071
Zack Gelof OAK07/071
Henry Bolte OAK07/071
Nick Kurtz OAK07/070
Colby Thomas OAK07/070
Max Muncy OAK07/070
Jacob Wilson OAK07/070
Joc Pederson TEX07/051
Nicky Lopez TEX07/051
Ezequiel Duran TEX07/051
Josh Smith TEX07/051
Jake Burger TEX07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.200.364.273.360.265.333.333.316.333
Exit Velo
89.0696.1487.4890.8093.2393.8787.8490.8796.39
AVG
.200.364.273.348.265.333.250.316.333
sluggingPercentage
.400.364.636.435.382.533.375.526.533
OPS
.600.727.909.760.647.867.667.842.867