Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Troy Melton

Detroit Tigers · P · Bats R · Throws R

Tonight's line
4.5
Model proj
4.89
Edge
-1.1%
Last 13
38%5/13 over 4.5
Window avg
3.23
Median
3.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
38%
5/13
2026
75%
3/4
Avg3.23
StreakW3

Parlay pairs — when Troy Melton clears 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts, these hit too

Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 59% · n=8 · -171 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Pitcher Strikeoutslast 13 vs 4.5

official box scores
7@ PIT07/236@ CWS08/133vs NYM09/011vs CWS09/071@ MIA09/131vs CLE09/180vs ATL09/200@ CLE10/013vs SEA10/083@ BAL05/245@ TB06/035vs CWS06/207@ NYY07/014.5

Tonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings4.5-140+110
FanDuel4.5-136+106
Bovada4.5-135+105

Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

4.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
FanDuelDraftKingsBovada

League vs OAK Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 4.5

Tarik Skubal DET07/079
Eury Pérez MIA07/058
Sandy Alcantara MIA07/048
Tyler Phillips MIA07/032
Jack Dreyer LAD07/013
Justin Wrobleski LAD06/3011
Eric Lauer LAD06/292
Sam Aldegheri LAA06/284
Reid Detmers LAA06/278
Walbert Ureña LAA06/265
Landen Roupp SF06/256
Tyler Mahle SF06/244
Robbie Ray SF06/236
Reid Detmers LAA06/214