Tonight's line
4.5
Model proj
4.89
Edge
-1.1%Last 15
33%5/15 over 4.5
Window avg
2.87
Median
3.0
L5
100%
5/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
25%
5/20
2026
71%
5/7
Avg2.81
StreakW5
Parlay pairs — when Troy Melton clears 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts, these hit too
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 59% · n=8 · -152 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Pitcher Strikeouts — last 15 vs 4.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 4.5 | -140 | +110 |
| FanDuel | 4.5 | -136 | +106 |
| PrizePicks | 5 | -137 | -137 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 4.5 | -118 | +118 |
| Bovada | 4.5 | -135 | +105 |
Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
FanDuelDraftKingsBovadaPrizePicksdabble_us_dfs
League vs OAK — Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 4.5
| Tarik Skubal DET | 07/07 | 9 | ✓ |
| Eury Pérez MIA | 07/05 | 8 | ✓ |
| Sandy Alcantara MIA | 07/04 | 8 | ✓ |
| Tyler Phillips MIA | 07/03 | 2 | ✗ |
| Jack Dreyer LAD | 07/01 | 3 | ✗ |
| Justin Wrobleski LAD | 06/30 | 11 | ✓ |
| Eric Lauer LAD | 06/29 | 2 | ✗ |
| Sam Aldegheri LAA | 06/28 | 4 | ✗ |
| Reid Detmers LAA | 06/27 | 8 | ✓ |
| Walbert Ureña LAA | 06/26 | 5 | ✓ |
| Landen Roupp SF | 06/25 | 6 | ✓ |
| Tyler Mahle SF | 06/24 | 4 | ✗ |
| Robbie Ray SF | 06/23 | 6 | ✓ |
| Reid Detmers LAA | 06/21 | 4 | ✗ |
Pitch arsenal — 2026
Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.
Four-seam FB38.4% · 96.0 mph
Slider19.1% · 86.1 mph
Cutter18.8% · 91.6 mph
Splitter8.9% · 88.4 mph
Sinker8.4% · 95.3 mph
Curveball6.3% · 77.8 mph