Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Troy Melton

Detroit Tigers · P · Bats R · Throws R

Tonight's line
17.5
Model proj
17.69
Edge
+5.1%
Last 10
30%3/10 over 18.5
Window avg
15.60
Median
17.5
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
15%
3/20
2026
43%
3/7
Avg10.89
StreakW1

Pitcher Outslast 10 vs 18.5

official box scores
12@ SEA10/049vs SEA10/083@ SEA10/1017@ BAL05/2421@ CWS05/2924@ TB06/0315vs MIN06/0918vs CWS06/2018vs HOU06/2519@ NYY07/0118.5

Tonight's odds — Pitcher Outs

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings17.5-101-132
PrizePicks17.5-137-137
Underdog17.5-137-137
Betr Picks17.5-137-137
dabble_us_dfs17.5-101+102
Bovada17.5-105-135

Line movement — Pitcher Outs

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

17.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsBovadadabble_us_dfsUnderdogPrizePicksBetr Picks

League vs OAK Pitcher Outs, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 17.5

Tarik Skubal DET07/0715
Eury Pérez MIA07/0521
Sandy Alcantara MIA07/0424
Tyler Phillips MIA07/0310
Jack Dreyer LAD07/013
Justin Wrobleski LAD06/3021
Eric Lauer LAD06/2918
Sam Aldegheri LAA06/2815
Reid Detmers LAA06/2717
Walbert Ureña LAA06/2613
Landen Roupp SF06/2518
Tyler Mahle SF06/2417
Robbie Ray SF06/2324
Reid Detmers LAA06/2118

Pitch arsenal — 2026

Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.

Four-seam FB38.4% · 96.0 mph
Slider19.1% · 86.1 mph
Cutter18.8% · 91.6 mph
Splitter8.9% · 88.4 mph
Sinker8.4% · 95.3 mph
Curveball6.3% · 77.8 mph