Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Troy Melton

Detroit Tigers · P · Bats R · Throws R

Tonight's line
4.5
Model proj
4.89
Edge
-1.1%
Last 18
19%3/16 over 5 · 2 push
Window avg
2.61
Median
1.0
L5
67%
2/3
L10
25%
2/8
L20
19%
3/16
2026
100%
2/2
Avg2.61
StreakW2

Parlay pairs — when Troy Melton clears 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts, these hit too

Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 59% · n=8 · -171 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Pitcher Strikeoutslast 18 vs 5

official box scores
1vs MIN08/052vs LAA08/086@ CWS08/131vs HOU08/181vs KC08/231@ OAK08/261@ KC08/291vs CWS09/071@ MIA09/131vs CLE09/180@ CLE10/014@ SEA10/043vs SEA10/081@ SEA10/105@ TB06/035vs MIN06/096vs HOU06/257@ NYY07/015

Tonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings4.5-140+110
FanDuel4.5-136+106
Bovada4.5-135+105

Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

4.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
FanDuelDraftKingsBovada

League vs OAK Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 4.5

Tarik Skubal DET07/079
Eury Pérez MIA07/058
Sandy Alcantara MIA07/048
Tyler Phillips MIA07/032
Jack Dreyer LAD07/013
Justin Wrobleski LAD06/3011
Eric Lauer LAD06/292
Sam Aldegheri LAA06/284
Reid Detmers LAA06/278
Walbert Ureña LAA06/265
Landen Roupp SF06/256
Tyler Mahle SF06/244
Robbie Ray SF06/236
Reid Detmers LAA06/214