Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Troy Melton

Detroit Tigers · P · Bats R · Throws R

Tonight's line
4.5
Model proj
4.89
Edge
-1.1%
Last 5
40%2/5 over 4.5
Window avg
3.60
Median
3.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
2/5
L20
40%
2/5
2026
50%
1/2
Avg3.60
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Troy Melton clears 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts, these hit too

Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 59% · n=8 · -171 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Pitcher Strikeoutslast 5 vs 4.5

official box scores
7@ PIT07/233vs NYM09/010vs ATL09/203@ BAL05/245vs CWS06/204.5

Tonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings4.5-140+110
FanDuel4.5-136+106
Bovada4.5-135+105

Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

4.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
FanDuelDraftKingsBovada

League vs OAK Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 4.5

Tarik Skubal DET07/079
Eury Pérez MIA07/058
Sandy Alcantara MIA07/048
Tyler Phillips MIA07/032
Jack Dreyer LAD07/013
Justin Wrobleski LAD06/3011
Eric Lauer LAD06/292
Sam Aldegheri LAA06/284
Reid Detmers LAA06/278
Walbert Ureña LAA06/265
Landen Roupp SF06/256
Tyler Mahle SF06/244
Robbie Ray SF06/236
Reid Detmers LAA06/214