Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Troy Melton

Detroit Tigers · P · Bats R · Throws R

Tonight's line
4.5
Model proj
4.89
Edge
-1.1%
Last 1
0%0/1 over 4.5
Window avg
1.00
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/1
L10
0%
0/1
L20
0%
0/1
2026
Avg1.00
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Troy Melton clears 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts, these hit too

Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 59% · n=8 · -171 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Pitcher Strikeoutslast 1 vs 4.5

vs OAK only · official box scores
1@ OAK08/264.5

Tonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings4.5-140+110
FanDuel4.5-136+106
PrizePicks5-137-137
Bovada4.5-135+105

Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

4.5512:11 AM ET9:38 AM ET
FanDuelDraftKingsBovadaPrizePicks

League vs OAK Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 4.5

Tarik Skubal DET07/079
Eury Pérez MIA07/058
Sandy Alcantara MIA07/048
Tyler Phillips MIA07/032
Jack Dreyer LAD07/013
Justin Wrobleski LAD06/3011
Eric Lauer LAD06/292
Sam Aldegheri LAA06/284
Reid Detmers LAA06/278
Walbert Ureña LAA06/265
Landen Roupp SF06/256
Tyler Mahle SF06/244
Robbie Ray SF06/236
Reid Detmers LAA06/214

Pitch arsenal — 2026

Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.

Four-seam FB38.4% · 96.0 mph
Slider19.1% · 86.1 mph
Cutter18.8% · 91.6 mph
Splitter8.9% · 88.4 mph
Sinker8.4% · 95.3 mph
Curveball6.3% · 77.8 mph