Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.52
Edge
-15.0%Trending splitsvs LHP 27%(15)
Last 75
41%31/75 over 0.5
Window avg
0.59
Median
0.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
45%
15/33
Avg0.59
StreakL2
Parlay pairs — when Evan Carter clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Jake Burger o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 61% · n=46 · -206 DraftKings
Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 62% · n=29 · -239 DraftKings
Nicky Lopez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 56% · n=8 · -158 DraftKings
Brandon Nimmo o1.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 62% · base 41% · n=29 · +125 Bovada
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 75 vs 0.5
home only · official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs LAA — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Elias Díaz TEX | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Alejandro Osuna TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nicky Lopez TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Burger TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ezequiel Duran TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Josh Smith TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Joc Pederson TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brandon Nimmo TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Masataka Yoshida BOS | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Tsung-Che Cheng BOS | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Willson Contreras BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Anthony Seigler BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS
AVG