Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.52
Edge
-15.0%Trending splitsvs LHP 27%(15)
All 104 games
50%52/104 over 0.5
Window avg
0.67
Median
0.5
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
43%
17/40
Avg0.67
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Walbert Ureña (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changeup | 32.7% | 90.4 | .077 | .179 | 39.2% |
| Sinker | 31.6% | 97.5 | .308 | .385 | 11.5% |
| Four-seam FB | 19.9% | 97.4 | .205 | .452 | 18.3% |
| Sweeper | 15.8% | 86.2 | .200 | .500 | 38.5% |
| Fastball | 0.1% | 84.7 | — | — | — |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Evan Carter clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Jake Burger o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 61% · n=46 · -206 DraftKings
Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 62% · n=29 · -239 DraftKings
Nicky Lopez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 56% · n=8 · -158 DraftKings
Nicky Lopez o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 63% · base 56% · n=8 · -137 PrizePicks
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — all 104 games vs 0.5
away only · official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs LAA — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Elias Díaz TEX | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Josh Smith TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ezequiel Duran TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nicky Lopez TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Burger TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Alejandro Osuna TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Brandon Nimmo TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Joc Pederson TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Masataka Yoshida BOS | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Tsung-Che Cheng BOS | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Anthony Seigler BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Willson Contreras BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
onBasePercentage
OPS