Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Evan Carter

Texas Rangers · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.52
Edge
-15.0%
Trending splitsDay 0%(21)
Last 10
20%2/10 over 1.5
Window avg
0.70
Median
0.5
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
10%
2/20
2026
8%
6/73
Avg0.64
StreakL3

Parlay pairs — when Evan Carter clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Jake Burger o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 61% · n=46 · -206 DraftKings
Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 62% · n=29 · -239 DraftKings
Nicky Lopez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 56% · n=8 · -158 DraftKings
Brandon Nimmo o1.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 62% · base 41% · n=29 · +125 Bovada

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 10 vs 1.5

official box scores
1@ KC06/101@ KC06/110@ BOS06/120@ TOR06/282@ CLE06/290@ CLE06/302vs DET07/021vs DET07/040vs DET07/050vs LAA07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-147+111

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs LAA Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Elias Díaz TEX07/072
Jake Burger TEX07/071
Alejandro Osuna TEX07/071
Josh Smith TEX07/071
Nicky Lopez TEX07/071
Ezequiel Duran TEX07/071
Joc Pederson TEX07/070
Brandon Nimmo TEX07/070
Masataka Yoshida BOS07/053
Jarren Duran BOS07/052
Tsung-Che Cheng BOS07/052
Willson Contreras BOS07/051
Anthony Seigler BOS07/051
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
93.4785.5968.8990.3091.0978.9777.4995.3795.79
onBasePercentage
.231.190.167.190.220.389.087.167.250
sluggingPercentage
.333.381.167.450.450.750.087.167.625
OPS
.538.571.333.619.6591.056.174.333.875
AVG
.167.190.167.200.225.438.087.167.250