Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.85
Edge
-3.1%Trending splitsvs LHP 15%(13)
Last 20
21%3/14 over 1 · 6 push
Window avg
0.75
Median
0.0
L5
25%
1/4
L10
29%
2/7
L20
21%
3/14
2026
28%
16/57
Avg1.11
StreakL2
Tonight's matchup: Walbert Ureña (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changeup | 32.7% | 90.4 | .077 | .179 | 39.2% |
| Sinker | 31.6% | 97.5 | .308 | .385 | 11.5% |
| Four-seam FB | 19.9% | 97.4 | .205 | .452 | 18.3% |
| Sweeper | 15.8% | 86.2 | .200 | .500 | 38.5% |
| Fastball | 0.1% | 84.7 | — | — | — |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Evan Carter clears 0.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Jake Burger o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 61% · n=46 · -161 dabble_us_dfs
Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 62% · n=29 · -208 dabble_us_dfs
Nicky Lopez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 56% · n=8 · +120 dabble_us_dfs
Nicky Lopez o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 63% · base 56% · n=8 · -120 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 1
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | -120 | +120 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs LAA — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Alejandro Osuna TEX | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Elias Díaz TEX | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nicky Lopez TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Burger TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Josh Smith TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ezequiel Duran TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Joc Pederson TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brandon Nimmo TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/05 | 5 | ✓ |
| Willson Contreras BOS | 07/05 | 4 | ✓ |
| Masataka Yoshida BOS | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Tsung-Che Cheng BOS | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Anthony Seigler BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
onBasePercentage
OPS