Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.44
Edge
-6.2%Last 5
40%2/5 over 0.5
Window avg
0.40
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
41%
35/86
Avg0.54
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Jake Bennett (LHP)
Bats LeftThrows LeftSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 33.1% | 93.0 | .182 | .372 | 36.2% |
| Sinker | 27.9% | 92.5 | .260 | .520 | 36.6% |
| Changeup | 26.0% | 83.6 | .300 | .733 | 36.8% |
| Sweeper | 5.4% | 79.5 | .000 | .000 | 46.5% |
| Curveball | 4.9% | 79.2 | .389 | .667 | 32.7% |
| Cutter | 2.8% | 85.2 | .385 | 1.000 | 34.0% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Colson Montgomery clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 64% · n=57 · -208 dabble_us_dfs
Sam Antonacci o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 64% · n=30 · -161 dabble_us_dfs
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 68% · base 50% · n=57 · -108 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 5 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +141 | -141 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs BOS — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Chase Meidroth CWS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Kyle Teel CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Miguel Vargas CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sam Antonacci CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Randal Grichuk CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luisangel Acuña CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tristan Peters CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Junior Perez CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Zach Neto LAA | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Josh Lowe LAA | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Denzer Guzman LAA | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Oswald Peraza LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Vaughn Grissom LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Logan O'Hoppe LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
AVG
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
OPS