Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.74
Edge
+11.8%All 116 games
61%71/116 over 0.5
Window avg
1.81
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
56%
35/62
Avg1.81
StreakW1
Parlay pairs — when Colson Montgomery clears 0.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 64% · n=83 · -233 DraftKings
Davis Martin o4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 60% · base 48% · n=20 · -115 Bovada
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — all 116 games vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline | 0.5 | -185 | +140 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs BOS — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Sam Antonacci CWS | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Junior Perez CWS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Miguel Vargas CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Randal Grichuk CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tristan Peters CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luisangel Acuña CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Chase Meidroth CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kyle Teel CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Zach Neto LAA | 07/05 | 7 | ✓ |
| Jo Adell LAA | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Logan O'Hoppe LAA | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Denzer Guzman LAA | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jose Siri LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Vaughn Grissom LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
onBasePercentage