Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Anthony Seigler

Boston Red Sox · 3B · Bats S

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.73
Edge
-8.2%
Last 20
65%13/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.80
Median
1.0
L5
100%
5/5
L10
90%
9/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
91%
10/11
Avg0.69
StreakW9

Tonight's matchup: Davis Martin (RHP)

Bats SwitchThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
26.0%
92.7.333.54222.6%
Sinker
17.9%
90.8.400.4008.3%
Changeup
14.8%
88.7.250.5009.1%
Slider
14.5%
85.3.000.00045.5%
Cutter
13.5%
87.0.333.50015.4%
Curveball
13.3%
80.7

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Anthony Seigler clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Ceddanne Rafaela o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 67% · base 63% · n=12 · +144 dabble_us_dfs
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 62% · base 56% · n=13 · +115 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs NYM08/090vs PIT08/121@ CIN08/160@ CHC08/190@ CHC08/190@ CHC08/201vs SF08/231vs AZ08/260vs PHI09/031@ SEA06/200@ COL06/222@ COL06/232vs NYY06/251vs NYY06/261vs NYY06/282vs WSH06/291vs WSH06/301@ LAA07/041@ LAA07/051@ CWS07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-180+135
BetOnline0.5-192+147
dabble_us_dfs0.5-169+170

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs CWS Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Andruw Monasterio BOS07/072
Jarren Duran BOS07/072
Willson Contreras BOS07/072
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/072
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/071
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Chase DeLauter CLE07/052
Gabriel Arias CLE07/052
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Steven Kwan CLE07/051
Patrick Bailey CLE07/051
Cooper Ingle CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.500.000-.500.556.333.000.250.500
Exit Velo
95.8791.94-73.4193.6484.4694.5395.3489.20
AVG
.500.000-.500.556.333.000.250.500
sluggingPercentage
.500.000-.6671.111.500.000.500.500
OPS
1.000.000-1.1671.667.833.000.7501.000