Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.71
Edge
-10.3%Last 14
57%8/14 over 0.5
Window avg
0.86
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
57%
8/14
2026
50%
1/2
Avg0.86
StreakW1
Tonight's matchup: Troy Melton (RHP)
Bats SwitchThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 38.4% | 96.0 | .288 | .462 | 22.7% |
| Slider | 19.1% | 86.1 | .118 | .176 | 38.5% |
| Cutter | 18.8% | 91.6 | .333 | .333 | 15.8% |
| Splitter | 8.9% | 88.4 | .167 | .667 | 20.0% |
| Sinker | 8.4% | 95.3 | .286 | .786 | 11.5% |
| Curveball | 6.3% | 77.8 | .429 | 1.000 | 18.8% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jonah Heim clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Zack Gelof o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 85% · base 82% · n=20 · -198 DraftKings
Shea Langeliers o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 67% · n=30 · -213 DraftKings
Nick Kurtz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 60% · n=26 · -241 DraftKings
Zack Gelof o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 65% · base 58% · n=20 · -137 Betr Picks
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 14 vs 0.5
vs DET only · official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs DET — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Shea Langeliers OAK | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Zack Gelof OAK | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Henry Bolte OAK | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jacob Wilson OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Max Muncy OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nick Kurtz OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Colby Thomas OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ezequiel Duran TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Brandon Nimmo TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Burger TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Josh Smith TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Joc Pederson TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nicky Lopez TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
AVG
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo