Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
• = main line. Alt ladders load in the hour before first pitch.
| Book | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Caesars | +475 | — |
Home Runs · best price bolded · odds refresh every poll
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
| Time | Book | Move |
|---|---|---|
| 8:00 AM ET | Caesars | 0.5 → 1.5 |
| 8:00 AM ET | Caesars | 1.5 → 0.5 |
| 5:00 AM ET | Caesars | 0.5 → 1.5 |
| 5:00 AM ET | Caesars | 1.5 → 0.5 |
| 2:00 AM ET | Caesars | 0.5 → 1.5 |
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 1/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Manny Machado SD | 07/09 | 1 | ✓ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/09 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/09 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis Campusano SD | 07/09 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sung-Mun Song SD | 07/09 | 0 | ✗ |
| Miguel Andujar SD | 07/09 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jackson Merrill SD | 07/09 | 0 | ✗ |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. SD | 07/09 | 0 | ✗ |
| Xander Bogaerts SD | 07/09 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jackson Merrill SD | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
| Xander Bogaerts SD | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. SD | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis Campusano SD | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
Where he produces at the plate — official MLB hot/cold zones from his own at-bats, catcher's view, red hot / blue cold. Compare against the opposing pitcher's arsenal above: a fastball-heavy righty living up-and-in is a problem if that zone runs cold.
Advantage: hits .450 middle-middle · Weakness: .143 down
