Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Kyle Tucker

Los Angeles Dodgers · RF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.07
Edge
-8.8%
All 311 games
15%48/311 over 0.5
Window avg
0.17
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
10%
2/20
2026
8%
7/87
Avg0.17
StreakL10

Tonight's matchup: Gabriel Hughes (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter

No arsenal data for this pitcher yet — syncs daily before first pitch.

Parlay pairs — when Kyle Tucker clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too

Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 88% · base 47% · n=8 · -104 dabble_us_dfs
Andy Pages o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 66% · n=8 · -227 dabble_us_dfs
Andy Pages o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 75% · base 41% · n=8 · -115 dabble_us_dfs
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 31% · n=8 · +199 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Home Runsall 311 games vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ AZ06/021@ AZ06/030@ AZ06/040vs LAA06/050vs LAA06/070@ PIT06/090@ PIT06/100@ PIT06/110@ CWS06/120@ CWS06/130@ CWS06/141vs TB06/150vs TB06/160vs TB06/170vs BAL06/190vs BAL06/200vs BAL06/210@ MIN06/220@ SD06/261@ SD06/270@ SD06/280@ OAK06/290@ OAK06/300@ OAK07/010vs SD07/020vs SD07/030vs SD07/040vs SD07/050vs COL07/060vs COL07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Home Runs

BookLineOverUnder
dabble_us_dfs0.5+547-526

Line movement — Home Runs

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs COL Home Runs, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 2/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Shohei Ohtani LAD07/071
Dalton Rushing LAD07/070
Alex Freeland LAD07/070
Andy Pages LAD07/070
Tommy Edman LAD07/070
Freddie Freeman LAD07/070
Max Muncy LAD07/070
Miguel Rojas LAD07/070
Shohei Ohtani LAD07/061
Max Muncy LAD07/060
Miguel Rojas LAD07/060
Andy Pages LAD07/060
Mookie Betts LAD07/060
Freddie Freeman LAD07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.167.423.455.344.744.733.395.176.583
Exit Velo
87.3990.4782.8491.0992.6788.4888.5994.1288.98
AVG
.167.269.364.219.462.333.279.147.417
onBasePercentage
.231.259.364.242.462.333.279.143.417
OPS
.385.667.818.5761.2051.067.674.3141.000