Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.42
Edge
+0.8%Last 15
53%8/15 over 1.5
Window avg
1.93
Median
2.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
34%
13/38
Avg1.44
StreakL1
Parlay pairs — when Jake Burger clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Nicky Lopez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 86% · base 74% · n=14 · -158 DraftKings
MacKenzie Gore o17.5 Pitcher Outs
hits when he does 78% · base 48% · n=9 · -157 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 15 vs 1.5
home only · official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs LAA — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Alejandro Osuna TEX | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Elias Díaz TEX | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nicky Lopez TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Josh Smith TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Ezequiel Duran TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Joc Pederson TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Evan Carter TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brandon Nimmo TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/05 | 5 | ✓ |
| Willson Contreras BOS | 07/05 | 4 | ✓ |
| Masataka Yoshida BOS | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Tsung-Che Cheng BOS | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Anthony Seigler BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS