Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.42
Edge
+0.8%Last 20
35%7/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.40
Median
0.5
L5
20%
1/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
41%
20/49
Avg1.81
StreakL4
Parlay pairs — when Jake Burger clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Nicky Lopez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 86% · base 74% · n=14 · -158 DraftKings
MacKenzie Gore o17.5 Pitcher Outs
hits when he does 78% · base 48% · n=9 · -157 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 1.5
away only · official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs LAA — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Alejandro Osuna TEX | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Elias Díaz TEX | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nicky Lopez TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Ezequiel Duran TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Josh Smith TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Joc Pederson TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brandon Nimmo TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Evan Carter TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/05 | 5 | ✓ |
| Willson Contreras BOS | 07/05 | 4 | ✓ |
| Masataka Yoshida BOS | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Tsung-Che Cheng BOS | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Anthony Seigler BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS