Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.82
Edge
-7.0%All 327 games
63%206/327 over 0.5
Window avg
0.91
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
70%
14/20
2026
61%
53/87
Avg0.91
StreakW2
Parlay pairs — when Jake Burger clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Nicky Lopez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 81% · base 74% · n=21 · -158 DraftKings
MacKenzie Gore o17.5 Pitcher Outs
hits when he does 67% · base 48% · n=15 · -157 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — all 327 games vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs LAA — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Elias Díaz TEX | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Josh Smith TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ezequiel Duran TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nicky Lopez TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Alejandro Osuna TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Joc Pederson TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Evan Carter TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brandon Nimmo TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Masataka Yoshida BOS | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Tsung-Che Cheng BOS | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Anthony Seigler BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Willson Contreras BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS