Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jake Burger

Texas Rangers · 3B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.82
Edge
-7.0%
Last 10
29%2/7 over 1 · 3 push
Window avg
0.80
Median
0.5
L5
0%
0/3
L10
29%
2/7
L20
33%
3/9
2026
37%
20/54
Avg0.91
Streak

Parlay pairs — when Jake Burger clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Nicky Lopez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 81% · base 74% · n=21 · -158 DraftKings
MacKenzie Gore o17.5 Pitcher Outs
hits when he does 67% · base 48% · n=15 · -157 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 10 vs 1

official box scores
2@ TOR06/250@ TOR06/263@ TOR06/270@ TOR06/281@ CLE06/290@ CLE06/300@ CLE07/010vs DET07/021vs DET07/051vs LAA07/071

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-206+154

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs LAA Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Elias Díaz TEX07/072
Nicky Lopez TEX07/071
Alejandro Osuna TEX07/071
Josh Smith TEX07/071
Ezequiel Duran TEX07/071
Joc Pederson TEX07/070
Brandon Nimmo TEX07/070
Evan Carter TEX07/070
Masataka Yoshida BOS07/053
Tsung-Che Cheng BOS07/052
Jarren Duran BOS07/052
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/051
Anthony Seigler BOS07/051
Willson Contreras BOS07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.381.182.188.296.371.233.250.500.304
Exit Velo
93.0397.1883.2389.1698.7590.3899.2395.2081.81
sluggingPercentage
.762.591.375.385.886.367.500.724.304
AVG
.381.182.188.308.371.233.250.517.304
OPS
1.143.773.563.6671.257.600.7501.200.609