Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jake Burger

Texas Rangers · 3B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.82
Edge
-7.0%
Last 10
60%6/10 over 0.5
Window avg
0.90
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
67%
14/21
Avg0.94
StreakL2

Parlay pairs — when Jake Burger clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Nicky Lopez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 81% · base 74% · n=21 · -158 DraftKings
MacKenzie Gore o17.5 Pitcher Outs
hits when he does 67% · base 48% · n=15 · -157 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 10 vs 0.5

official box scores
1@ LAA05/240vs CLE06/053vs CLE06/071@ BOS06/131@ BOS06/142vs SD06/210@ TOR06/261@ CLE06/290@ CLE07/010vs DET07/020.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-206+154

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs LAA Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Elias Díaz TEX07/072
Josh Smith TEX07/071
Nicky Lopez TEX07/071
Alejandro Osuna TEX07/071
Ezequiel Duran TEX07/071
Brandon Nimmo TEX07/070
Joc Pederson TEX07/070
Evan Carter TEX07/070
Masataka Yoshida BOS07/053
Jarren Duran BOS07/052
Tsung-Che Cheng BOS07/052
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/051
Willson Contreras BOS07/051
Anthony Seigler BOS07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.381.182.188.296.371.233.250.500.304
Exit Velo
93.0397.1883.2389.1698.7590.3899.2395.2081.81
sluggingPercentage
.762.591.375.385.886.367.500.724.304
AVG
.381.182.188.308.371.233.250.517.304
OPS
1.143.773.563.6671.257.600.7501.200.609