Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.51
Edge
-9.6%Last 20
40%8/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.55
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
44%
12/27
Avg0.53
StreakW1
Tonight's matchup: Gerrit Cole (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 44.0% | 93.5 | .083 | .208 | 30.0% |
| Slider | 18.5% | 87.2 | .100 | .400 | 27.8% |
| Changeup | 15.5% | 83.7 | .467 | .733 | 21.7% |
| Knuckle Curve | 14.3% | 81.2 | — | — | — |
| Sinker | 7.8% | 90.6 | .100 | .100 | 12.5% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Victor Mesa Jr. clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Taylor Walls o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 89% · base 70% · n=9 · +120 dabble_us_dfs
Taylor Walls o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 89% · base 70% · n=9 · +111 dabble_us_dfs
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 70% · n=12 · -200 dabble_us_dfs
Chandler Simpson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 59% · n=11 · -213 BetOnline
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKings
League vs NYY — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Yandy Díaz TB | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Richie Palacios TB | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Taylor Walls TB | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Hunter Feduccia TB | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Junior Caminero TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cedric Mullins TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonathan Aranda TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Chandler Simpson TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Richie Palacios TB | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jonny DeLuca TB | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Chandler Simpson TB | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nick Fortes TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Junior Caminero TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cedric Mullins TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
OPS
AVG
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo