Victor Mesa Jr.

Tampa Bay Rays · CF · Bats L

Tonight's line

0.5

Model proj

0.52

Edge

-9.4%

Batter Strikeouts Hits Hits + Runs + RBIs Home Runs RBIs Runs Scored Stolen Bases Total Bases Walks

Last20

Trending splits

Last 20

40%8/20 over 0.5

Window avg

0.55

Median

0.0

80%

4/5

L10

40%

4/10

L20

40%

8/20

2026

38%

5/13

Avg0.52

StreakW3

Hits — last 20 vs 0.5

home only · official box scores

Tonight's matchup: Gerrit Cole (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter

Pitch	He throws it	Velo	Batter BA vs	SLG vs	Whiff% vs
Four-seam FB	44.0%	93.5	.083	.208	30.0%
Slider	18.5%	87.2	.100	.400	27.8%
Changeup	15.5%	83.7	.467	.733	21.7%

Parlay pairs — when Victor Mesa Jr. clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Taylor Walls o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 89% · base 70% · n=9 · +120 dabble_us_dfs

Taylor Walls o0.5 Total Bases

hits when he does 89% · base 70% · n=9 · +111 dabble_us_dfs

Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 75% · base 70% · n=12 · -200 dabble_us_dfs

Chandler Simpson o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 73% · base 59% · n=11 · -213 BetOnline

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Tonight's odds — Hits

Book	Line	Over	Under
DraftKings	0.5	-114	-116
BetOnline	0.5	-137	+106

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs NYY — Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Yandy Díaz TB

07/08