Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Victor Mesa Jr.

Tampa Bay Rays · CF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.51
Edge
-9.6%
All 40 games
43%17/40 over 0.5
Window avg
0.53
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
44%
12/27
Avg0.53
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Victor Mesa Jr. clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Taylor Walls o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 89% · base 70% · n=9 · -102 BetOnline
Taylor Walls o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 89% · base 70% · n=9 · +109 BetOnline
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 70% · n=12 · -208 BetOnline
Chandler Simpson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 59% · n=11 · -213 BetOnline

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitsall 40 games vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs WSH09/100vs DET09/130vs DET09/141@ BAL05/251@ BAL05/261@ BAL05/270vs LAA05/301vs LAA05/310vs DET06/010vs DET06/020vs DET06/030@ MIA06/051@ MIA06/061@ MIA06/070vs BOS06/080@ LAA06/132@ LAA06/140@ LAD06/170vs WSH06/200vs KC06/231vs KC06/250vs AZ06/262vs AZ06/271vs AZ06/281@ KC07/010@ KC07/020@ HOU07/030@ HOU07/040@ HOU07/052vs NYY07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-114-116
BetOnline0.5-137+106

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET12:10 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs NYY Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Yandy Díaz TB07/072
Richie Palacios TB07/072
Taylor Walls TB07/071
Hunter Feduccia TB07/071
Jonathan Aranda TB07/070
Cedric Mullins TB07/070
Junior Caminero TB07/070
Chandler Simpson TB07/070
Richie Palacios TB07/062
Jonny DeLuca TB07/061
Chandler Simpson TB07/061
Cedric Mullins TB07/060
Yandy Díaz TB07/060
Junior Caminero TB07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
1.000.143.000.000.286.500.111.000.200
OPS
2.000.286.000.000.8752.500.222.0001.000
Exit Velo
95.3878.3481.7481.6289.7397.8382.0893.8090.33
sluggingPercentage
1.000.143.000.000.7142.000.111.000.800
onBasePercentage
1.000.143.000.000.250.500.111.000.200