Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Alejandro Osuna

Texas Rangers · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.06
Edge
-0.2%
Last 20
0%0/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.00
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
0%
0/20
2026
0%
0/16
Avg0.00
StreakL35

Tonight's matchup: Walbert Ureña (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Changeup
32.7%
90.4.314.40011.8%
Sinker
31.6%
97.5.381.42913.5%
Four-seam FB
19.9%
97.4.130.13016.4%
Sweeper
15.8%
86.2.250.25033.3%
Fastball
0.1%
84.7

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Home Runslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ NYM09/140vs MIA09/210vs MIN09/250@ CLE09/280vs OAK04/260vs NYY04/290@ NYY05/070vs CHC05/100@ HOU05/170@ COL05/200vs KC05/300vs KC05/310vs MIN06/180vs SD06/210@ MIA06/240@ TOR06/270@ TOR06/280@ CLE07/010vs DET07/040vs DET07/050.5

Tonight's odds — Home Runs

BookLineOverUnder
dabble_us_dfs0.5+1564-1429

Line movement — Home Runs

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs LAA Home Runs, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 2/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Evan Carter TEX07/070
Jake Burger TEX07/070
Nicky Lopez TEX07/070
Elias Díaz TEX07/070
Ezequiel Duran TEX07/070
Brandon Nimmo TEX07/070
Joc Pederson TEX07/070
Josh Smith TEX07/070
Jarren Duran BOS07/051
Willson Contreras BOS07/051
Caleb Durbin BOS07/050
Masataka Yoshida BOS07/050
Tsung-Che Cheng BOS07/050
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.100.250.091.417.250.091.250.231.286
sluggingPercentage
.200.250.100.417.250.091.250.231.429
AVG
.100.250.100.417.250.091.250.231.286
OPS
.300.500.182.833.500.182.500.462.714
Exit Velo
92.8690.3664.3992.9490.5692.1693.4288.4791.21