Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.73
Edge
-5.8%Trending splitsDay 10%(10)
Last 20
33%4/12 over 1 · 8 push
Window avg
0.85
Median
1.0
L5
25%
1/4
L10
29%
2/7
L20
33%
4/12
2026
21%
7/33
Avg0.64
Streak—
Parlay pairs — when Alejandro Osuna clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Elias Díaz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 69% · n=8 · -130 DraftKings
Nicky Lopez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 66% · n=17 · -158 DraftKings
Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 61% · n=31 · -239 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 1
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs LAA — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Elias Díaz TEX | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nicky Lopez TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Burger TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ezequiel Duran TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Josh Smith TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Brandon Nimmo TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Evan Carter TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Joc Pederson TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Masataka Yoshida BOS | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Tsung-Che Cheng BOS | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Willson Contreras BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Anthony Seigler BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
AVG