Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Alejandro Osuna

Texas Rangers · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.73
Edge
-5.8%
Last 5
40%2/5 over 0.5
Window avg
0.40
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
56%
25/45
Avg0.66
StreakW1

Tonight's matchup: Walbert Ureña (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Changeup
32.7%
90.4.314.40011.8%
Sinker
31.6%
97.5.381.42913.5%
Four-seam FB
19.9%
97.4.130.13016.4%
Sweeper
15.8%
86.2.250.25033.3%
Fastball
0.1%
84.7

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Alejandro Osuna clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Elias Díaz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 69% · n=8 · -120 dabble_us_dfs
Elias Díaz o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 75% · base 69% · n=8 · -105 dabble_us_dfs
Nicky Lopez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 66% · n=17 · +120 dabble_us_dfs
Nicky Lopez o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 71% · base 66% · n=17 · -120 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 5 vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ TOR06/281@ CLE06/300vs DET07/040vs DET07/051vs LAA07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-161+121
dabble_us_dfs0.5-137+139

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs LAA Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Elias Díaz TEX07/072
Josh Smith TEX07/071
Nicky Lopez TEX07/071
Jake Burger TEX07/071
Ezequiel Duran TEX07/071
Evan Carter TEX07/070
Brandon Nimmo TEX07/070
Joc Pederson TEX07/070
Masataka Yoshida BOS07/053
Jarren Duran BOS07/052
Tsung-Che Cheng BOS07/052
Willson Contreras BOS07/051
Anthony Seigler BOS07/051
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.100.250.091.417.250.091.250.231.286
sluggingPercentage
.200.250.100.417.250.091.250.231.429
AVG
.100.250.100.417.250.091.250.231.286
OPS
.300.500.182.833.500.182.500.462.714
Exit Velo
92.8690.3664.3992.9490.5692.1693.4288.4791.21