Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.49
Edge
-4.0%Last 10
30%3/10 over 0.5
Window avg
0.50
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
20%
4/20
2026
41%
37/91
Avg0.54
StreakL4
Tonight's matchup: Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curveball | 33.0% | 76.6 | .313 | .469 | 24.5% |
| Four-seam FB | 29.7% | 92.4 | .235 | .435 | 25.1% |
| Sweeper | 12.5% | 79.3 | .296 | .556 | 24.0% |
| Sinker | 10.1% | 92.1 | .326 | .512 | 8.6% |
| Changeup | 7.4% | 84.1 | .197 | .279 | 20.6% |
| Cutter | 6.0% | 87.4 | .214 | .250 | 24.3% |
| Slider | 1.2% | 82.2 | .220 | .373 | 25.9% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Daylen Lile clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
CJ Abrams o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 68% · n=76 · -164 dabble_us_dfs
Jacob Young o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 58% · n=57 · -155 DraftKings
Dylan Crews o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 64% · n=31 · -169 dabble_us_dfs
Drew Millas o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 54% · n=23 · -111 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 10 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +134 | -133 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Betr Picksdabble_us_dfs
League vs HOU — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| James Wood WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jorbit Vivas WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| James Wood WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Dylan Crews WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS