Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.16
Edge
-1.1%Last 182
9%17/182 over 0.5
Window avg
0.10
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
5%
1/20
2026
9%
8/91
Avg0.10
StreakL4
Tonight's matchup: Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curveball | 33.0% | 76.6 | .313 | .469 | 24.5% |
| Four-seam FB | 29.7% | 92.4 | .235 | .435 | 25.1% |
| Sweeper | 12.5% | 79.3 | .296 | .556 | 24.0% |
| Sinker | 10.1% | 92.1 | .326 | .512 | 8.6% |
| Changeup | 7.4% | 84.1 | .197 | .279 | 20.6% |
| Cutter | 6.0% | 87.4 | .214 | .250 | 24.3% |
| Slider | 1.2% | 82.2 | .220 | .373 | 25.9% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Daylen Lile clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too
CJ Abrams o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 68% · n=17 · -164 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Home Runs — last 182 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +528 | -526 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs HOU — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| James Wood WSH | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jorbit Vivas WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| James Wood WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS