Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.90
Edge
-5.8%Trending splitsvs LHP 70%(27)
Last 20
50%10/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.75
Median
0.5
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
60%
27/45
Avg0.88
StreakL3
Tonight's matchup: Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curveball | 33.0% | 76.6 | .313 | .469 | 24.5% |
| Four-seam FB | 29.7% | 92.4 | .235 | .435 | 25.1% |
| Sweeper | 12.5% | 79.3 | .296 | .556 | 24.0% |
| Sinker | 10.1% | 92.1 | .326 | .512 | 8.6% |
| Changeup | 7.4% | 84.1 | .197 | .279 | 20.6% |
| Cutter | 6.0% | 87.4 | .214 | .250 | 24.3% |
| Slider | 1.2% | 82.2 | .220 | .373 | 25.9% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Daylen Lile clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Dylan Crews o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 64% · n=49 · -169 dabble_us_dfs
Jacob Young o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 58% · n=89 · -155 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 0.5
home only · official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs HOU — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| James Wood WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jorbit Vivas WSH | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| James Wood WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS