Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Daylen Lile

Washington Nationals · RF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.90
Edge
-5.8%
Last 15
0%0/15 over 5
Window avg
0.93
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
0%
0/20
2026
0%
0/91
Avg1.02
StreakL182

Tonight's matchup: Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Curveball
33.0%
76.6.313.46924.5%
Four-seam FB
29.7%
92.4.235.43525.1%
Sweeper
12.5%
79.3.296.55624.0%
Sinker
10.1%
92.1.326.5128.6%
Changeup
7.4%
84.1.197.27920.6%
Cutter
6.0%
87.4.214.25024.3%
Slider
1.2%
82.2.220.37325.9%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Daylen Lile clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Dylan Crews o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 64% · n=49 · -169 dabble_us_dfs
Jacob Young o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 58% · n=89 · -155 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 15 vs 5

official box scores
1@ TB06/210vs PHI06/221vs PHI06/242vs PHI06/250@ BAL06/262@ BAL06/270@ BAL06/280@ BOS06/292@ BOS06/301@ BOS07/013vs PIT07/032vs PIT07/040vs PIT07/050vs HOU07/060vs HOU07/075

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-227+169
dabble_us_dfs0.5-189+191

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs HOU Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

James Wood WSH07/072
Luis García Jr. WSH07/072
Curtis Mead WSH07/072
Nasim Nuñez WSH07/072
Jorbit Vivas WSH07/071
CJ Abrams WSH07/071
Keibert Ruiz WSH07/070
Jacob Young WSH07/070
Nasim Nuñez WSH07/063
CJ Abrams WSH07/063
Curtis Mead WSH07/063
Luis García Jr. WSH07/061
Jacob Young WSH07/061
James Wood WSH07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.231.529.389.278.448.636.440.732.550
Exit Velo
96.3688.3880.7890.5491.0686.9689.5696.2988.66
AVG
.077.176.333.222.276.409.280.341.300
onBasePercentage
.071.167.333.216.267.409.280.341.300
OPS
.286.667.722.486.7001.045.7201.073.850